
{"id":5676,"date":"2021-06-15T09:00:12","date_gmt":"2021-06-15T13:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/?p=5676"},"modified":"2021-06-15T11:06:09","modified_gmt":"2021-06-15T15:06:09","slug":"a-surge-of-end-of-life-notifications-is-likely-in-the-near-future-are-you-prepared","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/obsolescence-management\/a-surge-of-end-of-life-notifications-is-likely-in-the-near-future-are-you-prepared\/","title":{"rendered":"A Surge of End-of-Life Notifications Is Likely In The Near Future. Are You Prepared?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-are-parts-that-keep-your-line-running-in-the-crosshairs-for-discontinuance-when-production-re-locates-not-all-parts-make-the-move-chip-companies-will-make-economically-driven-decisions-on-what-parts-to-support-the-result-a-wave-of-end-of-life-notifications-in-your-near-future\">Are parts that keep your line running in the crosshairs for discontinuance? When production re-locates, not all parts make the move. Chip companies will make economically-driven decisions on what parts to support. The result: a wave of end-of-life notifications in your near future.<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>Like most industries, the last couple of years have been an uphill battle for the semiconductor industry. <a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/excess-inventory\/how-to-plan-electronics-inventory-during-unprecedented-global-events\/\">Geopolitical factors<\/a> and supply chain disruptions continue to pose outsized risks for the semiconductor manufacturers. In response to unprecedented demand, manufacturers are looking to realign orders with capacity and <a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/services\/obsolescence-management\/\">trim lines<\/a> with less demand. In other words, now is the time to prepare for a wave of <a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/services\/obsolescence-management\/\">end-of-life notifications<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The creation of new factories is a much-discussed variable for growing future capacity. The expansion and growth of factories, however, does not necessarily portend a strong supply to meet your production lines\u2019 demand in the coming years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-s-behind-the-coming-end-of-life-notifications\">What\u2019s behind the coming end-of-life notifications?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We all know that semiconductor processes are hugely expensive and highly sensitive. With potentially thousands of steps just to make a semiconductor wafer, a finished chip takes up to three months to manufacture. As new production avenues are explored during this time of demand, you might think that spells the end of shortages. But behind the scenes, the reality is that a production shift from one factory to another creates numerous challenges for meeting your supply needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First up: getting the new factory up and running \u2014 and building the product so that it meets all of the manufacturer&#8217;s specifications. That initial production run creates a huge hurdle. Some products can be built, but only at a very low yield, with a very low percentage of parts meeting spec initially. In other cases, it may take significantly longer than planned to make the move into production. Worst case, the process is tweaked to such a high tolerance, and with so many possible variables, that they struggle for years to get the new process functioning the way it should.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The result is that a semiconductor manufacturer will only go through the potential pain of moving production for products that have a future. Older products, or products with low or declining demand, are targets for discontinuance. With that comes the pressure of end-of-life planning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-preparing-for-the-surge-of-end-of-life-notifications\">Preparing for the surge of end-of-life notifications<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Facing the realities of unprecedented short-term shortages while taking on long-term planning takes a lot of resources. Preparation for EOLs requires a combination of keeping revenue streams open and lines up and running, while looking for future opportunities to secure the parts you need.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-sharpen-your-situational-awareness\">1. Sharpen your situational awareness<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Keeping up with the geopolitical climate driving these changes takes a lot of work. The semiconductor shortage is taking up more space on the news cycle, but it\u2019s important to get past the dire market predictions and into actionable insights. Accessing market information from well-connected partners who have decades of industry experience saves time and effort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-strategic-information-collection\">2. Strategic information collection<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Your data carries a lot of value. With the right market intelligence on anticipated demand, you can price out the range of options in light of the time required for implementation\/part lead times, as necessary. It\u2019s particularly important to have a good understanding of the amount of parts made for an EOL. We find that product orders for typical end-of-life notifications only meet 60% of the demand for the part, creating a shortage situation in many cases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-staying-one-step-ahead\">3. Staying one step ahead<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Most critically, you need to monitor end-of-life notifications and make sure to set immediate alerts. If you don\u2019t know, you can\u2019t act. And prepare to move quickly. Best-case, a typical EOL notice will provide around 180 days to assess your product needs and make an order. When looking to meet future demand, consider your <a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/obsolescence-management\/responding-to-lifetime-buy-events-how-do-organizational-biases-affect-you\/\">buying strategies<\/a> now so that you don\u2019t take a reactive stance and end up with <a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/services\/excess-inventory-solutions\/\">excess<\/a> on your hands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The inexorable forces of geopolitical shifts and technology acceleration in 5G, IoT, and automotive demand has forced chip companies to decide which parts to continue to support. When the inevitable end-of-life notifications come, you\u2019ll need to make swift, strategic moves to secure the parts you need. We recommend staying aware of what\u2019s driving the EOLs and bracing for continuous shortages as the expansion of semiconductor manufacturing continues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u8a73\u7d30\u306f\u3053\u3061\u3089<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/excess-inventory\/how-to-plan-electronics-inventory-during-unprecedented-global-events\/\">How To Plan Your Electronics Inventory During Unprecedented Global Events<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/obsolescence-management\/how-to-forge-the-right-end-of-life-timeline-for-critical-parts\/\">How to Forge the Right End-of-Life Timeline for Critical Parts<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/shortage-mitigation\/survive-the-electronics-shortage-help-strengthening-supply-chain-resilience\/\">To Survive In The Electronics Shortage Market, Get Help Strengthening Supply Chain Resilience<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When facing a lifetime-buy event, it\u2019s helpful to understand the built-in biases that shape decision-making. To stay nimble, know your style and understand how a supportive independent partner can help mitigate risk. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":5678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Electronic components supply forecasting is a true balancing act that, when done right, can lead to cost reduction, timely order fulfillment, and satisfied customers. Consider these areas when planning ahead for supply and demand of electronic parts.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/services\/global-sourcing\/\">Electronic components supply forecasting<\/a>, when done skillfully, makes sure that the right number of parts are on hand, without saddling the organization with too much expensive inventory.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>If incoming purchased goods match the outgoing end product, then that critical balance has been achieved.&nbsp; More art than science, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.michiganstateuniversityonline.com\/resources\/supply-chain\/why-forecasting-is-essential-in-supply-chain-management\/\">forecasting can optimize the supply chain<\/a> in ways that cut costs,&nbsp; increase efficiency, and generally improve business outcomes.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 id=\"h-qualitative-or-quantitative-what-s-the-best-method\">Qualitative or quantitative: What\u2019s the best method?&nbsp;<\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>There are two inventory forecasting methods that procurement professionals can leverage to make solid forecasting decisions: quantitative or qualitative. Qualitative forecasting takes its cues from subjective opinions and insights, while quantitative forecasting leverages historical demand data to make an educated guess.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 id=\"h-which-is-better\"><strong>Which is better?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The answer is both. By using more than one method organizations can gain better insights into what\u2019s going on in their specific supply chain and in the general marketplace. Quantitative forecasting often uses past sales data (and the ability to make a prediction is only as good as the data\u2014so going further back in history is preferable). This method also takes into account factors such as demand trends and seasonality.&nbsp; Qualitative forecasting, meanwhile, relies on educated deductions based on gathering information from both inside and outside of the organization.&nbsp; Whenever possible it\u2019s good to pursue a hybrid model.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Further, organizations should do both short and long-term forecasting of electronic components. Short-term methods look at roughly a calendar year and are critical to inventory planning, replenishment, and procurement. The short timeframe is subject to many variables such demand fluctuations and lean-time variations. Long-term demand forecasting, on the other hand, can be used in major strategic and investment decisions, such as new product planning.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 id=\"h-electronic-components-supply-forecasting-by-type\">Electronic components supply forecasting by type&nbsp;<\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>There are many types of electronic components supply forecasting that can help organizations improve business planning. Here are a few:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:list -->\n<ul><li><strong>Supply forecasting: <\/strong>This method looks at the supplier base and tries to gauge what product these suppliers will have and in what quantities.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Demand forecasting:<\/strong> This method analyzes potential customer demand for an end product for some period of time (whether it is a week, a month, or a quarter.) Other considerations: cultural trends, seasonality, and consumer confidence.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Price forecasting:<\/strong> This method puts how supply and demand shifts may affect components prices. It also considers other factors that may impact prices such as potential weather events, economic trends, etc.&nbsp;<\/li><\/ul>\n<!-- \/wp:list -->\n\n<!-- wp:embed {\"url\":\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/vy0b7jwWjAU\",\"type\":\"video\",\"providerNameSlug\":\"youtube\",\"responsive\":true,\"className\":\"wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/youtu.be\/vy0b7jwWjAU\n<\/div><figcaption>Contact A2 Global for a Lifecycle Assessment on your current inventory. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:embed -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 id=\"h-the-why-s-of-a-solid-forecast\">The why\u2019s of a solid forecast<\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Forecasting is an essential part of a robust supply chain plan. It touches every aspect of the organization, including budgeting, financial planning, sales and marketing plans, raw material planning, production planning, and risk assessment and\u202fmitigation. It can help businesses succeed in a variety of ways:&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:list {\"ordered\":true,\"type\":\"1\"} -->\n<ol type=\"1\"><li><strong>Capacity planning:&nbsp; <\/strong>Using data about current inventory levels, availability, and expected orders, forecasting can be used to effectively schedule production, improved capacity utilization, and knowledgeable allocation of resources.<\/li><li><strong>Supplier and partner relations: <\/strong>A well-informed allows the organization to set expectations with suppliers and distributor partners. It also may give purchasing manager a better negotiating position.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Inventory optimization: <\/strong>Optimization of inventory leads to reduction of products being over- or understocked.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Budgeting:<\/strong> By having a rolling forecast (created through forecasting) to fall back on, you can correct early and often and avoid the need for big course corrections.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Risk assessment and mitigation: <\/strong>A solid forecast gets an organization out in front of potential problems by identifying and measuring the likelihood of potential risks.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Component life cycle monitoring:<\/strong> Every component has a measurable lifecycle and good forecasting allows organizations to be ready when a part reaches its natural conclusion of availability.&nbsp;<\/li><\/ol>\n<!-- \/wp:list -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>To summarize: <\/strong>&nbsp;Electronic components supply forecasting done well delivers a number of business benefits. By choosing the right method, OEMs can apply gathered wisdom to make better business decisions throughout the entire lifecycle of the products it makes and purchases.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>Read more<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:list -->\n<ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/high-reliability\/strategically-sourcing-high-reliability-parts-during-times-of-supply-chain-disruption\/\">Strategically Sourcing High-Reliability Parts During Times of Supply Chain Disruption<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/obsolescence-management\/independent-distributors-prove-indispensable-during-end-of-life-market-imbalances\/\">Independent Distributors Prove Indispensable During End-of-Life Market Imbalances<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/shortage-mitigation\/survive-the-electronics-shortage-help-strengthening-supply-chain-resilience\/\">To Survive In The Electronics Shortage Market, Get Help Strengthening Supply Chain Resilience<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n<!-- \/wp:list -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[64,104,134,169,167,183,101,168,51,187],"class_list":["post-5676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-obsolescence-management","tag-a2-global","tag-electronic-components","tag-electronics-inventory","tag-end-of-life","tag-eol","tag-independent-distributors","tag-inventory-management","tag-ltb","tag-obsolescence-management","tag-supply-forecasting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Surge of End-of-Life Notifications Is Likely In The Near Future. Are You Prepared? - A2 Global Electronics + Solutions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Semiconductor companies will make economically driven decisions on what parts to support, resulting in a wave of end-of-life notifications.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/zh\/obsolescence-management\/a-surge-of-end-of-life-notifications-is-likely-in-the-near-future-are-you-prepared\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ja_JP\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"BLOG: A SURGE OF END-OF-LIFE NOTIFICATIONS IS LIKELY | A2 Global Electronics + Solutions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Are parts that keep your line running in the crosshairs for discontinuance? When production re-locates, not all parts make the move. Chip companies will make economically driven decisions on what parts to support. The result: a wave of end-of-life notifications in your near future.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/ja\/zh\/obsolescence-management\/a-surge-of-end-of-life-notifications-is-likely-in-the-near-future-are-you-prepared\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"A2 Global Electronics + Solutions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/A2-Global-Electronics-Solutions-111970253587855\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-06-15T13:00:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-06-15T15:06:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/a2globalelectronics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/EOL-Notifications-Graphic.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"512\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Allison Montez\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"A Surge of End-of-Life Notifications Is Likely In The Near Future. 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